It is clear that they have recently come to Nepal aggressively with the aim of bringing China to disintegration like Soviet Russia within five years with the unified force of Euro-American G-7 and Quad. At this time, all Euro-American departments and related organizations are fully active.
Leaders of all political parties in Nepal are aware of the Euro-Americans anti-China plan. Last Friday, July 30, 2021, CPN (UML) leader and former Deputy Prime Minister Dr. Bhim Rawal opposed the MCC in Parliament, responding to him Pradip Giri, a Nepali Congress MP, said: ´ … China’s glare is not real. It hardly last for 5-10 years, it will all fall apart.’ From this, it is understandable how confidently the separatist forces are moving forward with the aim of dissolving China in Nepal.
At the end of October 2012, at 10:30 pm, the Chinese diplomat and I met the then Prime Minister Baburam Bhattarai at the Prime Minister’s residence in Baluwatar. At that time, various issues related to Nepal-China relations as well as Nepal’s internal politics were discussed. During the meeting, PM Bhattarai’s wife had said regarding the visit of CPN-Maoist Central Committee Chairman Pushpa Kamal Dahal to the United States: Baburam Bhattarai, the Prime Minister was met by the third level of leader of the US CIA. The CIA chief met the Prachanda who had gone as Former Prime Minister. It is clear from this that Prachanda is the agent of America or India. There, Prachanda has reached a three-point agreement. Now, what is he going to do in Nepal with the help of CIA?’ I had published an article in Chhahara Weekly covering this and other topics within two or three days of the meeting.
Former Minister Hisila Yami’s statement is true. A closer look at Chairman Dahal’s political maneuvers reveals that he has always been instrumental in making the Prime Minister to a weak and unstable figure within the Nepali Congress or the UML. When he was the Prime Minister, and the environment was conducive to work in the interest of the country and the people, at the time, he has backed pretending something strange. His every move is not in favor of political stability and development of the country but towards instability. Lately, Chairman Dahal did not play any role in creating political stability, development and prosperity even when KP Oli was the Prime Minister. He has always played a role in weakening Prime Minister Oli and forcing him to surrender to the Indo-West. Earlier, in 2016, when Oli was the Prime Minister, he was ousted amid preparations to move ahead the agreement with China. This time, President Dahal also fielded former Prime Ministers Madhav Kumar Nepal and Jhala Nath Khanal to weaken Oli. At the moment, he is using Prime Minister Sher Bahadur Deuba in the Euro-American plan. It would not be an exaggeration to say so.
1. Strategies to show the Euro-American alliance much public supported:
Recent activities seem to be moving the country forward on the path of confrontation. Due to the clash of national and international interest groups, the possibility of the country going into a disaster has increased in the coming days. Prime Minister Sher Bahadur Deuba is also active in increasing this possibility.
Nepal’s attention was diverted to the United States after India stopped to provide vaccines to Nepal. Nepalese Ambassador to the United States Dr. Yuvraj Khatiwada said that the possibility of importing 3 million vials of AstraZeneca from the United States has increased then President Bhandari wrote a letter to US President Joy Biden. On 14th Jeshth, Ambassador Khatiwada handed over the letter to Irvin Massinga, a Senior Adviser to the State Department in DC.
The AstraZeneca vaccine, developed by Oxford University in the United Kingdom, is produced in India by the Serum Institute under the name Viroshield. Even though Nepal gave money to India to buy 2 million vials of vaccine, only 1 million vials came to Nepal. The population over the age of 65 who have been vaccinated since 23rd Falgun has not yet received the second dose. If the United States had given AstraZeneca vaccines, they would have been able to get vaccinated more easily.
The United States has stockpiled 60 million doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine. The United States was forced to take the vaccine because of its investment in Oxford during vaccine research. The United States did not use AstraZeneca because of the development of the American vaccine along with the AstraZeneca vaccine. The United States, which withdrew its hand during the second outbreak of the corona, is now openly saying that it is ready to help Nepal in any way.
US Ambassador to Nepal Randy Berry is busy promoting the US-provided 1.5 million Vial Johnson & Johnson vaccine to Nepal. Even Prime Minister Deuba has been agreeing with Ambassador Berry. The United States has not yet provided vaccine grants to Nepal directly. Johnson’s vaccine came to Nepal from the Covax facility. Under this facility, Nepal will get 11.8 million vaccines.
Ambassador Berry was with Nepal’s Prime Minister Deuba at the first day of Johnson’s vaccination. He also thanked the US government for providing the vaccine at a program at the Disability Rehabilitation Center. In addition, Nepal signed an agreement with the United States to buy 6 million vile vaccines produced by Pfizer and Biotech Company on the direct orders of Prime Minister Deuba. Aiming at a population of around 5 million in the age group of 12 to 18 years, 6 million vials vaccines are being procured.
As per the agreement reached on 12th Shrawan, the government has requested to provide the vaccine by next Poush. However, Pfizer has stated that the vaccine can be given till April of 2022. In addition, the issue of purchasing 5 million doses of Moderna vaccine is also in the final stage. Prime Minister Deuba, who was sworn in as the Prime Minister, had ordered the concerned officials of the Ministry of Health to expedite the procurement process as it was the most effective. Deuba did not want to buy more vaccines from China than the government had previously bought. Instead, in a meeting with the Prime Minister, the Chinese ambassador committed to provide 1.6 million vaccines free. The government is thinking of bringing the vaccine from China for free and buys from the United States. US Ambassador Berry’s active participation is seen in all these works. Prime Minister Deuba has been trying to mobilize public sentiment in favor of the US by showing that the US has helped Nepal to fight against Corona. However, the government is preparing to bring in a few lakh vaccines from China, which the previous government took the initiative to avoid public pressure and to avoid accuses of the supporter of the Euro-US alliance.
2. The United States has been raised again in Nepal:
After Oli’s oath as Prime Minister, the United States was slowly become passive in Nepal. During Oli’s time, the work of the Americans in Nepal was limited to the operation of the embassy. Due to which, the US did not want to provide vaccines to Nepal even after providing Taiwan and Pakistan. On June 6, the United States decided to give vaccines to Taiwan.
In the first phase, US Senator Tammy Duckworth and two other US officials landed in Taiwan to announce the decision to provide 750,000 vials vaccines. The United States sent more vaccines to Taiwan than previously announced on June 19. In the first phase, 2.5 million vaccines were sent to Taiwan. On June 3, the United States decided to give 8 million vaccines to different countries.
The United States sent 2.5 million vaccines to Pakistan on July 2. While the production of Pak Vak started on June 1. Pakistan started vaccination with the help of Cansino Biotech, China’s first corona vaccine manufacturer. Despite having its own vaccine in Pakistan, the US had decided to send the Moderna vaccine to Pakistan. The vaccine was also given at the Covax facility as well. Although the United States has given Moderna vaccines to other countries, it was decided to give Johnson to Nepal, which is in dispute with the United States on the issue of quality. The US had made public its decision to give the vaccine to Nepal only on July 9 which came on 12th July in Nepal. On the same day, vaccines were shipped to Nepal, Bhutan and Indonesia.
Deuba was appointed Prime Minister on July 13, the day after the American vaccine arrived in Nepal. The Supreme Court had on July 12 ordered Deuba to be appointed the prime minister. As soon as Deuba was appointed as the Prime Minister, US Ambassador Berry congratulated Deuba on social media and over the phone. Berry was the second ambassador to congratulate Deuba. Deuba uploaded a photo of his meeting with US Ambassador Berry at 12:08 on July 15.
Before congratulating by Berry, Indian Ambassador to Nepal Binay Mohan Kwatra met Prime Minister Deuba and wished him a successful tenure. The Indian Embassy uploaded a photo of Ambassador Kwatra congratulating Prime Minister Deuba at 1:12 pm on July 14. Chinese Ambassador Hou Yanqi reached at the official residence in Baluwatar on July 16 to congratulate Prime Minister Deuba.
Berry is the first ambassador to congratulate the prime minister on his appointment through phone. For this courtesy, Deuba took Berry with him to monitor the Nepal Orthopedic Hospital, Jorpati on July 19. Berry and Prime Minister Deuba were together at the launch of the Johnson vaccine in Nepal. The US embassy said the vaccine, which came to the Covax facility, was its grant. A statement issued by the US embassy also states that the Nepalese people have been donated vaccines by the US.
Berry had earlier met Deuba on January 25, 2021 as the Chairman of the Nepali Congress. After Joy Biden’s oath as US President on January 20, Ambassador Berry briefed senior Nepalese officials on the Biden administration’s policies. Berry, who has not been very active for a long time, seems to be active suddenly. As a result, American influence in Nepal is expected to increase. Americans are interested in the following:
A. Rights of the Independent Tibetans:
This has long been a growing concern of the United States. They have been criticizing Nepal from time to time for not treating the Tibetans in Nepal with respect. In recent times, the activities of independent Tibetans have not been much, not only in Nepal but also in India. But now the United States is working to revive them.
Americans are aggressively being active in Nepal. This time, the intention seems to smash up China at any cost. So the United States, which has provided substantial assistance in the past, is now providing more assistance to Tibetans than ever before. Investment is being made separately for the Tibetan community living in Nepal, for the Tibetan refugees and for the partition of Tibet.
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken talked with Tibetan House Director Geshe Dorji Damdul at a roundtable discussion with Tibetan delegates, who is in state visit of India. On July 27, Blinken, the US Secretary of State, who landed in New Delhi, and clarify US interests in the region within 24 hours before returning. He also called Nepal’s Prime Minister Deuba from Delhi. Some have said that the phone conversation was not from Delhi but before landing in Delhi.
During his visit to Delhi, Blinken also met with Ngodup Dongchung, a representative of the Dalai Lama. China has responded to the talks by opposing the one-China policy pursued by the United States. Dongchung, who is also a representative of the Tibetan government-in-exile, thanked the US government for its continued support for Tibetans.
On July 29, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijien responded that China would not tolerate any foreign interference in China’s internal affairs. He also requested the United States to honor its commitment not to interfere in China’s internal affairs in the name of Tibetan affairs.
The United States has recently sought the help of Tibetans to embarrass China. For this, the US Senate has passed the Tibet Policy and Support Act-2020 on December 28, 2020. The bill was signed by former US President Trump on January 1, 2021. The signing also paved the way for the US to institutionalize the Tibet Policy and Support Act passed in 2002.
The United States has also decided to provide 6 million dollars every year in aid to Tibetan refugees in India and Nepal from 2021 to 2025. Recently, the United States has started paying more attention to the issue of Tibetans returning to China from Nepal. Earlier, Americans were more interested in Tibetans’ identity cards. They think that China will severely torture the Tibetans who have deported to China, while Nepal, which is in favor of a one-China policy, does not seem to be in a position to keep them here.
Earlier, the US Congress passed the Reciprocal Access to Tibet Act in 2018. The law is intended to give US diplomats and other officials, journalists and other citizens’ access to various parts of Tibet. The law was passed because China did not give Americans easy access to Tibet. Along with this, the Americans want to open a consulate general in Lhasa.
B. Approval of MCC:
The Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) was signed between Nepal and the United States on 29th Bhadra 2074. The project was signed by Gyanendra Bahadur Karki as the Finance Minister of the election government on behalf of Nepal. Deuba was the Prime Minister at the time of the MCC signing. The Maoists was sharing the power in government. The current state of power equation is the same as it was then.
However, many leaders of the NCP (NCP) formed after the unification of the UCPN (M) and CPN-UML were against the MCC. They are now in a dilemma. They used the MCC as a good weapon to embarrass party chairman and prime minister KP Oli. Now it seems that the same weapon has been returned to them. As the Prime Minister, Deuba is thinking of passing the MCC as it is. UCPN (Maoist) Chairman Dahal, on the other hand, seems to be thinking of passing the MCC only with some modifications. The United States has already said no change can be made in the MCC.
Apart from Oli, even if Madhav Nepal faction’s support, MCC can be passed by a two-thirds majority from the House of Representatives. There is also a possibility that Deuba can play in a clever way. Currently, the biggest protest of MCC is related to its involvement of the Indo-Pacific Strategy (IPS). This is also the reality. The IPS was formed in 2017 to strengthen US security, trade and US-controlled alliances. This is a US military strategic alliance.
It is not necessary to go too far and debate on this issue. We can see the tweet made by the US Embassy on July 20, 2021. The photo along with the tweet shocked many. Two US Indo-Pacific Command officers in military uniforms hand over the Far-Western Regional Blood Transfusion Service Center. This is an easy subject to understand. The center, built with USAID assistance, was handed over by Army officials. That too not to the army but to the officials of the Nepal Red Cross Society.
This tweet also reveals the changing prospect of America. In other words, the United States wants to operate all its recent investment and development projects under the Indo-Pacific strategy. It is led by Indo-Pacific Command. It is a testament to the strategic partnership that the United States has pursued in Southeast Asia. The same thing applies with MCC. Prime Minister Deuba can change in some points of MCC by requesting the United States as the will of Dahal. In this case, the MCC’s opponents can create an environment to save their face.
At this time, the United States has kept its people for and against the MCC. In doing so, it is important to understand how strong the opposition is against the MCC and to pave the right path for success. Moreover, the situation in Nepal would not get out of its control and China could not have any opportunity to expand its influence too. Political and other groups have been prepared for this. The Indo-Euro-American-invested media also seems to be using the ugly trick of establishing the people as patriots by repeatedly forcing their people to speak.
C. Build back better:
The US wants to stop China from flourishing. With the idea of stopping the BRI project put forward by China, the G7 has put forward a new project called Build Back Better. A meeting of G7 member states held in the UK on 14 June 2021 has decided to move this project forward. After the conference, US President Joy Biden said that the build-back better would oppose China’s plan in the world. The group includes the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, France, Germany, Italy and Japan.
Based on democratic values and described as a transparent infrastructure partnership, the program is presented as an alternative to China’s BRI. Build Back Better, like BRI, focuses on infrastructure development. Nepal, on the other hand, seems to be embarrassed by this concept. Nepal has already announced its commitment to BRI. Due to the delay by Nepal, the BRI operation projects have not started in Nepal. Nepal hopes for BRI assistance, especially road connectivity in the northern region, including the railway connection form Tibet to Kathmandu.
India has an equally strong potentiality to be a partner in this project. Lately, the Indian Prime Minister seems to be slowly moving closer to American concept. A few weeks ago, Modi reshuffled his cabinet at the behest of the United States. India is still not clear on Tibet issue. In 2003, India accepted Tibet as an integral part of China. In practice, this does not seem to be. Supporting the Sher Bahadur Deuba-led government formed by the European-American alliance formed to dissolve the KP-led government in Nepal also shows that India is moving towards the West.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi was sworn in as Prime Minister for the first time in 2014. The exiled Tibetan government chief Sange was invited to the swearing-in ceremony along with SAARC heads of state and government. In 2018, on the occasion of the 60th anniversary of the Dalai Lama’s stay in India, Dharamsala organized a program called ‘Thanks India’. Prime Minister Modi ordered high-ranking officials not to attend the event. Modi stopped some of the Dalai Lama’s activities from being brought out of the hospice. However, in recent times, he has given US officials the opportunity to conduct openly independent Tibetan activities in Delhi. Looking back, India is returning back before Modi came to power.
Many G7 member states have long been development partners in Nepal. Nepal is not in a position to reject the program they have put forward. As a result, Nepal seems to be under more pressure. It is not easy to overcome the situation of Nepal under the pressure of BRI and Build Back Better. For this, Mahendra-era diplomacy is needed again. Or China should help Nepal to establish a stable political system and party or leader to make Nepal stable, developed and peaceful.
Blinken’s visit has created an atmosphere in which the Biden administration considers New Delhi a major defense partner. It has been stated that the relationship between the two countries is strong through high level defense and other technologies. India and the United States have emphasized cooperation by working together for vaccine production and an emerging global supply chain. The Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi is going to Washington to attend the Quad Summit in October. These initiatives will be meaningful after his visit. This means that India is likely to return to the American pole. Due to which, the United States will start looking at Nepal through the eyes of Delhi again. In such a scenario, it would be easy to increase India’s declining influence in Nepal again.
3. The path of the current Prime Minister Deuba:
Morning shows the day. According to this Nepali proverb, Deuba has already indicated after the appointment of the Prime Minister. He didn’t only shake hands with US Ambassador Berry; he also made some important commitments to Secretary of State Blinken. According to the Kathmandu Post, talks with Deuba, Foreign Minister Blinken also expressed interest in the MCC issue. Deuba seems to have left China and even relied on the United States.
Analyzing Deuba’s priorities, he does not appear to be in favor of China. One of the reasons behind China’s delay in congratulating Deuba is his support for independent Tibetans. Deuba was on the same platform with Prime Minister Lobsang Sange of the Tibetan government-in-exile in Goa, India, on 19th Kartik, 2073. On November 20, 2020, former US President Trump held talks with Sange, the first head of government in exile in Tibet.
During Deuba’s tenure, Nepal seems to be under pressure from the US for two reasons. The first is the issue of independent Tibetan. If the government moves forward according to the will of the United States the same pressure will be faced from China. China has come a long way since 2008. In recent times, the activities of independent Tibetans have been slowing down since 2008. With the intention of disrupting the 2008 Olympic Games in China, they actively carried out protests in Nepal and other countries.
Chinese investment in Nepal is increasing. Its protection is also becoming a matter of Chinese interest. Due to which, the journey to Nepal is not easy now. Deuba’s idea of participating in a one-sided race is enough to increase the interference of external forces in Nepal.
On the other hand, it is possible that on the name of bringing investment countries including the United States will come. In such a situation, it should not be forgotten that the vaccine given by China saved us when no one cared. We manage the shortage of oxygen after receiving cylinders provided by China. The only vaccine and assistance we get when other countries come to compete with China. Looking at the current situation, Deuba does not seem to be able to walk this path.
The Deuba-led government must take sensible steps to safeguard our sovereignty, integrity, independence and unity, and at least reassure our Indo-Chinese neighbors that we will do nothing to oppose their integrity, security and stability. If we start playing with one or both of our neighbors for personal gain or loss, we may have to suffer from unforeseen misfortunes. The balance of power must be maintained, keeping in mind that China is not sleeping tiger like in the past, but a hunting tiger in the present. The greatest wisdom would be for the so-called leaders, who do not hesitate to do anything wrong and treacherous task for the sake of power, position and personal gain, to be able to change and improve themselves in time. If not, not only the Nepalese people but also you will sooner or later become prey to the unrest and bloodthirsty murderers hovering in the Nepalese sky.